The series stands at 2–1 in India’s favour after the fourth T20I in Lucknow was abandoned due to heavy fog, leaving the outcome hanging on this last encounter. A victory would seal the series 3–1 for India, while South Africa will be aiming to level it 2–2 and deny the hosts a series win.
The Narendra Modi Stadium, known for its vast dimensions and modern facilities, has generally been a happy hunting ground for batters in T20 cricket. The surface in Ahmedabad has consistently produced high-scoring matches, offering good bounce and pace early on. Fast bowlers are expected to find some assistance with the new ball, particularly in the initial overs, before the pitch gradually slows down. As the match progresses, spinners are likely to come into play, using the surface’s tendency to grip under lights. Dew is also expected to be a significant factor in the evening, potentially influencing captaincy decisions at the toss and making chasing a preferable option.
From a team perspective, the match carries additional interest with the return of Jasprit Bumrah to the Indian setup. The premier fast bowler will be especially motivated playing at his home ground, where conditions traditionally suit high-quality pace bowling. Meanwhile, India may be forced into a change at the top of the order, with Gujarat Titans captain Shubman Gill reportedly nursing an injury. His possible absence could open the door for Sanju Samson, who has been on the fringes of selection, to make a timely return to the playing XI.
Weather conditions in Ahmedabad are expected to be far more cooperative than in previous matches of the series. According to AccuWeather, temperatures are likely to hover around 25°C during the day, rising to approximately 30°C in the afternoon before dropping to near 20°C by evening. Clear skies are forecast, and air quality is expected to remain stable, reducing the risk of interruptions that have plagued other fixtures.
With the series on the line and both teams eager to assess conditions ahead of the upcoming global tournament, the fifth T20I promises to be a high-stakes encounter. Beyond deciding the immediate contest, the match will provide valuable insights into how the Narendra Modi Stadium may play when it hosts cricket’s biggest night in the months to come.
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